Michael Burry Shorts Tesla at $416 — Bulls Shrug It Off

Michael Burry disclosed a new short against Tesla at $416.22, tucked into a basket of AI and semiconductor bets. The stock promptly climbed past his entry as delivery week momentum built.

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Michael Burry Shorts Tesla at $416 — Bulls Shrug It Off

AUSTIN, Texas — Michael Burry, the investor made famous by "The Big Short," has opened a fresh bearish bet against Tesla — and the market barely blinked.

In a post to his "Cassandra Unchained" Substack titled "Trading Post June 30, 2026," Burry wrote that he "shorted Tesla at 416.22" on Tuesday, adding, "Happy it jumped back to this level." The Tesla position was the last name in a broader quarter-end basket of shorts that also targeted Nvidia, Caterpillar, Applied Materials and the iShares Semiconductor ETF, which Burry frames as an inflating AI and chip bubble.

A Familiar Bet Against a Rising Stock

Notably, Burry shorted into strength, not weakness. Tesla had closed the prior session at $379.71 before surging roughly 10% on Tuesday, and by the time his note circulated the stock had continued climbing — trading around $427 the next day, well above his entry point. In other words, the bet was already underwater almost immediately, a pattern that has defined Tesla shorts for years. The renewed enthusiasm coincides with growing investor interest in a potential Tesla and SpaceX combination that many see as Musk's long-game catalyst.

Crucially, Burry did not disclose the size or structure of the Tesla short — no share count, no dollar figure, no options strikes. That matters, because his most famous Tesla trade, a 2021 put position, was widely misreported as a "half-billion-dollar" bet when the headline number was merely the regulatory notional value, not capital at risk. He covered that trade within months.

Michael Burry Shorts Tesla at $416 — Bulls Shrug It Off — additional image

Why the Bulls Are Unbothered

Tesla has transformed from a pure automaker into a diversified AI, energy and autonomy powerhouse, and the bull case has only broadened. Wall Street's optimists have grown louder, with Wedbush maintaining a Street-high $600 price target on the strength of Full Self-Driving, the Cybercab robotaxi ramp and Optimus. Against that backdrop, a single undisclosed short from a perennial skeptic reads more like background noise than a warning shot.

Even Burry's own reasoning acknowledges the trap. A stretched valuation, he has conceded in the past, does not automatically make a good short — and Tesla has repeatedly demonstrated that the market can stay enthusiastic far longer than bears can stay solvent. His disclosure, detailed by Electrek, reads as a semiconductor-bubble thesis with Tesla attached almost as an afterthought.

What Comes Next

The timing is conspicuous. Tesla reports second-quarter delivery numbers on July 2, with consensus near 406,000 vehicles and some desks modeling 420,000 — figures that, if met, would hand the bulls another talking point and put further pressure on anyone betting against the rally. Shorts have tried to fade Tesla into delivery reports before, often to their regret.

For now, the scoreboard favors the optimists. Burry has staked out his position, the stock has moved against him, and the company heads into a pivotal week with momentum and a widening set of AI-driven growth stories at its back.